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PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 02/06/2025
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following Period:
[1.] From 1730 hrs 02/06/2025 to 1800 hrs 02/06/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1719 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1655 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
RESERVE NOTICE MT PASA 3 June 2025
MT PASA provides early information to the market on potential reliability issues, enabling the market to respond proactively and potentially avoid the need for AEMO intervention.
For further information, please refer to:
https://www.aemo.com.au/Electricity/National-Electricity-Market-NEM/Data/Market-Management-System-MMS/Projected-Assessment-of-System-Adequacy
This notice supersedes Market Notice 127274 published on 27 May 2025.
Background
As part of a broader process of implementing the reliability standard, AEMO runs the Medium Term Projected Assessment of System Adequacy (MTPASA) process weekly to forecast expected unserved energy levels over a two year period. If the expected annual unserved energy exceeds the maximum level specified by the Reliability Standard, a Low Reserve Condition is identified.
For more information about how AEMO implements the reliability standard, please view the Reliability Standard Implementation Guidelines (RSIG) available on AEMO's website at https://www.aemo.com.au/Electricity/National
Forecasting
AEMO
PDPASA - Cancellation of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 02/06/2025
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 127353 is cancelled at 1540 hrs 02/06/2025.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 02/06/2025
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 127352 has been updated at 1515 hrs to the following:
From 1730 hrs 02/06/2025 to 1830 hrs 02/06/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1713 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1436 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 02/06/2025
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 127350 has been updated at 1045 hrs to the following:
From 1700 hrs 02/06/2025 to 1900 hrs 02/06/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1713 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1262 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
NON-CONFORMANCE Region QLD1 Sunday, 1 June 2025
NON-CONFORMANCE QLD1 Region Sunday, 1 June 2025
AEMO has declared the following unit as non-conforming under clause 3.8.23 of the National Electricity Rules:
Unit: TARONG#1
Duration: 01/06/2025 23:50 to 01/06/2025 23:55
Amount: -11 MW
Constraint: NC-Q_TARONG#1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
PDPASA - Update of the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW Region on 02/06/2025
The Forecast LOR1 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 127344 has been updated at 2030 hrs to the following:
[1.] From 1730 hrs 02/06/2025 to 1830 hrs 02/06/2025.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1611 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1395 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of Actual (LOR1) condition in the NSW region - 01/06/2025
Cancellation of Actual (LOR1) condition in the NSW region - 01/06/2025
The Actual LOR1 Condition in the NSW Region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No.127348 is cancelled at 1910 hrs 01/06/2025.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Actual Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW region - 01/06/2025
Actual Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW region - 01/06/2025
An Actual LOR1 condition has been declared under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region from 1830 hrs.
The Actual LOR1 condition is forecast to exist until 1900 hrs
The capacity reserve requirement is 1666 MW
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1646 MW
Manager NEM Real Time Operations