Reliability Forecast Guidelines consultation

Market National Electricity Market
StageDiscussion Paper
ConvenorAEMO NEM
Accepting submissions?Yes
Submissions close16/12/2020

AEMO is currently consulting on its Reliability Forecast Guidelines in accordance with the Rules consultation process in rule 8.9.  

In accordance with clauses 4A.B.4 and 11.116.4 of the National Electricity Rules (NER), AEMO is required to publish Reliability Forecast Guidelines (RFG) by 28 February 2021. The finalised Guidelines will replace the Interim Reliability Forecast Guidelines (Interim Guidelines) made under clause 11.116.4(a) of the NER that have been in effect since 19 December 2019.

The consultation process

Consultation timeline


Indicative Date


Issues paper and draft guidelines published

11 November 2020 


Submissions to issues paper due

16 December 2020


Draft determination published

28 January 2021


Submissions to draft determination due

12 February 2021


Final determination published

26 February 2021


Invitation to make submissions

AEMO invites written submissions on the matter under consultation, including any alternative or additional proposals you consider may better meet the objectives of this consultation and the National Electricity Objective in section 7 of the National Electricity Law.

AEMO seeks feedback on the key changes to the Guidelines regarding:

  • Inputs and assumptions
  • The Reliability Forecast gap
  • The consultation process with relevant stakeholders
  • Confidentiality
  • The Forecasting Accuracy Report (FAR) and Forecasting Improvement Plan (FIP), including analysis of how data and methodology updates affect the reliability forecast

Please identify any parts of your submission that you wish to remain confidential, and explain why. AEMO may still publish that information if it does not consider it to be confidential, but will consult with you before doing so.

Please note that material identified as confidential may be given less weight in the decision-making process than material that is published.


In your submission, you may request a meeting with AEMO to discuss the matter under consultation, stating why you consider a meeting is necessary or desirable.

If appropriate, meetings may be held jointly with other Consulted Persons. Subject to confidentiality restrictions, AEMO will generally make details of matters discussed at a meeting available to other Consulted Persons, and may publish them.

Closing date and time

Submissions in response to the Notice of Consultation should be sent by email to, to reach AEMO by 5.00pm (Melbourne time) on 16 December 2020.

All submissions must be forwarded in electronic format (either pdf or Word). Please send any queries about this consultation to the same email address.

Submissions received after the closing date and time will not be valid, and AEMO is not obliged to consider them. Any late submissions should explain the reason for lateness and the detriment to you if AEMO does not consider your submission.


All submissions will be published on AEMO’s website, other than confidential content.

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