NEM Regional Volatility and Price

The tables below specify the forecast Volatility Factors and Average Prices calculated for input to the prudential settings calculations over the previous three seasonal reviews (when available).

Outstandings Limit Volatility Factor (VFOSLR)

Region 2020 Shoulder 2021 Summer 2021 Winter
NSW  1.34 1.59 1.4
QLD 1.34 1.56 1.35
SA 1.38 1.8 1.51
TAS 1.36 1.58 1.55
VIC 1.31 1.74 1.51

Prudential Margin Volatility Factor (VFPMR)

Region 2020 Shoulder 2021 Summer 2021 Winter
NSW 2.04 3.23 1.98
QLD 1.91 2.9 1.81
SA 1.88 4.78 2.19
TAS 1.76 1.77 1.86
VIC 1.81 4.76 2.01

Average Price (PR)

Region 2020 Shoulder 2021 Summer 2021 Winter
NSW  $64.25 $63.07 $58.76
QLD  $55.83 $68.81 $52.16 
SA  $60.62 $78.55 $67.88
TAS  $58.83 $66.84 $58.35
VIC  $56.36 $62.72 $59.70

Review Seasons

Review Season MCL Effective Date Calculation includes data up to this date
2021 Summer 01-Dec-20 17-Oct-20
2021 Winter 01-Apr-21 13-Feb-21
2021 Shoulder 01-Sep-21 17-Jul-21
2022 Summer 01-Dec-21 16-Oct-21
2022 Winter 05-Apr-22 19-Feb-22

For details information about regional volatility factors and prices, please refer to Credit Limit Procedures Supporting Information page.

For further information, please contact AEMO's Information and Support Hub.

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