2020 ISP scenarios, inputs, assumptions and methodologies
AEMO strives to ensure its planning and forecasting publications are of highest quality, with data that is fit for purpose and industry-reviewed, and processes that are transparent. To build confidence in the forecasts, and help decision makers understand the outcomes, AEMO consults on and publishes its scenarios, inputs, assumptions and methodologies.
If necessary, confidential information is withheld from public release, but incorporated in the modelling conducted to deliver assessments that are as accurate as possible.
Consultation was completed in 2019 on the scenarios, inputs, assumptions and methodologies to be applied to the 2020 ISP, as completed by the 2019 Planning and Forecasting Consultation on scenarios, inputs and assumptions.
These documents contain key information on conclusion of this consultation:
2019 Forecasting and Planning Scenarios, Inputs and Assumptions Report
This report contains descriptions of the 2019-20 scenarios, inputs, and assumptions which were used in AEMO’s 2019-20 NEM Planning and Forecasting publications, including the 2020 ISP.3 MB
2019 Planning and Forecasting Consultation Paper2.21 MB
2019 Planning and Forecasting Consultation Responses657.03 KB
Further detail on the updates to inputs made for the 2020 ISP can be found in the 2020 ISP Consultation Summary Report – see link below. A link to the 2020 ISP Transmission projects cost summary is also provided below.
Additional Supporting information and useful links
2019 Input and Assumptions workbook
This spreadsheet contains key scenario data used as inputs in AEMO’s market models for 2019 Planning and Forecasting activities. This version 1.5 contains the latest input data used for the 2020 ISP modelling9.75 MB
2020 ISP Consultation Summary Report
The Consultation Summary Report contains a summary of the written submissions to the consultation on the Draft 2020 ISP and the non-network consultation for QNI Medium and VNI West projects, along with AEMO’s responses to the material issues raised.744.72 KB
2020 ISP Transmission projects cost summary
This table summarises the capital cost estimates for transmission projects which were used for the 2020 ISP113.46 KB
Market modelling methodology report
This document contains descriptions of AEMO’s various methodologies for simulating integrated energy supply developments for the electricity and gas systems.1.66 MB
Brattle Group report: Incorporating climate-related risks into transmission network planning2.37 MB
AEMO’s collection of scenarios, inputs, assumptions and methodologies for use in Forecasting and Planning activities are available at the following link, along with a listing of all of the engagement activities that were carried out in 2019 during the inputs and assumptions consultation, and associated materials.