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PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 09/12/2023
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR2 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region for the following period:
From 1600 hrs 09/12/2023 to 1830 hrs 09/12/2023.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1180 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 766 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Tungatinah-Lake Echo-Waddamana 1 110kV line and Tungatinah-Waddamana 2 110kV line in TAS1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: TAS1
Lines: Tungatinah-Lake Echo-Waddamana 1 110kV and Tungatinah-Waddamana 2 110kV
Duration: 08/12/2023 12:41 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
T-TUWA12_110_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Farrell-John Butters line and Farrell-Rosebery-Newton-Queenstown line in TAS1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: TAS1
Lines: Farrell-John Butters and Farrell-Rosebery-Newton-Queenstown
Duration: 08/12/2023 11:51 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Farrell - Reece No.1 220 kV line and Farrell - Reece No.2 220 kV line in TAS1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: TAS1
Lines: Farrell - Reece No.1 220 kV and Farrell - Reece No.2 220 kV
Duration: 08/12/2023 11:35 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
F-T-FARE_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
T-V-MNSP1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
STPASA - Update to the Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the NSW Region on 09/12/2023
The Forecast LOR2 condition in the NSW region advised in AEMO Electricity Market Notice No. 112041 has been updated at 1100 hrs 08/12/2023 to the following:
From 1530 hrs 09/12/2023 to 1830 hrs 09/12/2023.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 1250 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 776 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
AEMO Operations
Reclassification of non-credible contingency event due to existence of widespread abnormal conditions - SA region.
AEMO has identified that a non-credible contingency event impacting the power system is more likely to occur and is considered reasonably possible because of the existence of widespread abnormal conditions namely severe weather in the SA region.
AEMO has therefore reclassified the occurrence of a non-credible contingency event involving multiple plant due to these abnormal conditions as credible.
AEMO has taken the following action to maintain power system security at 1050 hrs 08/12/2023.
Constraint set invoked: I-VS_250
Duration: 1050 hrs 08/12/2023. until further notice
Need for further measures is being monitored and further measures may be implemented in line with the Power System Security Guidelines (SO_OP_3715).
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Loss of Sheffield 220 kV switchyard (all 220 kV buses) in Tas due to planned work
Reclassification of a non-credible contingency event as a credible contingency event due to planned work.
AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region:TAS
Plant: Sheffield 220 kV switchyard (all 220 kV buses)
Duration: 08/12/2023 : 1000 hrs until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked: T:SH_220_N-2
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: South East - Tailem Bend No.1 and No.2 275 kV lines 275kV lines in SA due to severe weather warning.
Reclassification of a non-credible contingency event as a credible contingency event due to severe weather warning.
AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: SA
Lines: South East - Tailem Bend No.1 and No.2 275 kV lines
Duration: 08/12/2023 11:10 hrs until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked: S-SETB_N-2
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Para-Templers West and Magill-Torrens Island A 275kV lines in SA due to severe weather warning.
Reclassification of a non-credible contingency event as a credible contingency event due to severe weather warning.
AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: SA
Lines: Para-Templers West and Magill-Torrens Island A 275kV lines
Duration: 08/12/2023 10:50 hrs until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked: Nil
Manager NEM Real Time Operations