Market Notices

The MTPASA result published on 9 January 2024 identifies Low Reserve Conditions as annual unserved energy exceeds the Reliability Standard between:
-- January 2025 - January 2026 in New South Wales.

AEMO declares low reserve conditions in accordance with clause 4.8.4 of the National Electricity Rules for the following region(s) and periods:
-- January 2025 - February 2025
-- August 2025 - January 2026
in New South Wales when forecast demand exceeds supply under some circumstances.

Please note that MTPASA informs the market of potential reliability issues to allow the market to respond in the first instance, potentially avoiding the need for any AEMO intervention.

For further information, please refer to:
https://www.aemo.com.au/Electricity/National-Electricity-Market-NEM/Data/Market-Management-System-MMS/Projected-Assessment-of-System-Adequacy

This notice supersedes Market Notice 112967 published on 2 January 2024.

Background
As part of a broader process of implementing the reliability standard, AEMO runs the Medium Term Projected Assessment of System Adequacy (MTPASA) process weekly to forecast expected unserved energy levels over a two year period. If the expected annual unserved energy exceeds the maximum level specified by the Reliability Standard, a Low Reserve Condition is identified.

For more information about how AEMO implements the reliability standard, please view the Reliability Standard Implementation Guidelines (RSIG) available on AEMO's website at https://www.aemo.com.au/Electricity/National

Forecasting
AEMO

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.

Region: VIC1

Lines: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV

Cancellation time: 08/01/2024 14:59

Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE

Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 113117

Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.

Region: QLD1

Lines: Clare South - Strathmore No.7208 and Clare South - Strathmore tee King Creek No.7128 132 kV Lines

Duration: 08/01/2024 13:49 until further notice

Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE

Manager NEM Real Time Operations

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.

Region: VIC1

Lines: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV

Duration: 08/01/2024 12:56 until further notice

Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE

Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.

Region: VIC1

Lines: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV

Cancellation time: 08/01/2024 12:09

Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE

Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 113115

Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.

Region: VIC1

Lines: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV

Duration: 08/01/2024 11:06 until further notice

Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE

Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

AEMO's weather service provider has issued forecast temperatures equal to or greater than the NEM Local Temperature Alert Levels for listed weather stations below.

SA
Port Augusta Ap (39+ Deg C): 12th Jan

The NEM Local Temperature Alert Levels are:

Launceston Ti Tree Bend: 33 Deg C, Dalby Airport: 37 Deg C, for all other selected weather stations: 39 Deg C.

AEMO requests Market Participants to:

1. review the weather forecast in the local area where their generating units / MNSP converter stations are located and,

2. if required, update the available capacity in their dispatch offers or availability submissions consistent with the forecast temperatures.

Further information is available at:

https://aemo.com.au/energy-systems/electricity/national-electricity-market-nem/nem-forecasting-and-planning/forecasting-and-reliability/projected-assessment-of-system-adequacy/nem-local-temperature-alerts

AEMO Operations Planning

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.

Region: VIC1

Lines: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV

Cancellation time: 08/01/2024 05:09

Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE

Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 113111

Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.

Region: VIC1

Lines: Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.1 220 kV and Eildon PS - Mt Beauty No.2 220 kV

Duration: 08/01/2024 03:07 until further notice

Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE

Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations