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RESERVE NOTICE MT PASA PUBLICATION 26 December 2023
-- December 2024 - December 2025 in New South Wales.
AEMO declares low reserve conditions in accordance with clause 4.8.4 of the National Electricity Rules for the following region(s) and periods:
-- January 2025 - February 2025
-- August 2025 - December 2025
in New South Wales when forecast demand exceeds supply under some circumstances.
Please note that MTPASA informs the market of potential reliability issues to allow the market to respond in the first instance, potentially avoiding the need for any AEMO intervention.
For further information, please refer to:
https://www.aemo.com.au/Electricity/National-Electricity-Market-NEM/Data/Market-Management-System-MMS/Projected-Assessment-of-System-Adequacy
This notice supersedes Market Notice 112486 published on 19 December 2023.
Background
As part of a broader process of implementing the reliability standard, AEMO runs the Medium Term Projected Assessment of System Adequacy (MTPASA) process weekly to forecast expected unserved energy levels over a two year period. If the expected annual unserved energy exceeds the maximum level specified by the Reliability Standard, a Low Reserve Condition is identified.
For more information about how AEMO implements the reliability standard, please view the Reliability Standard Implementation Guidelines (RSIG) available on AEMO's website at https://www.aemo.com.au/Electricity/National
Forecasting
AEMO
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A6 500kV line and Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A7 500kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A6 500kV and Bannaby - Mt Piper 5A7 500kV
Duration: 25/12/2023 14:25 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
N-5A6+5A7_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
VIC1-NSW1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Ross - Chalumbin No.857 275 kV line and Ross - Chalumbin No.858 275 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Ross - Chalumbin No.857 275 kV and Ross - Chalumbin No.858 275 kV
Duration: 25/12/2023 14:25 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
Q-RSCH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Update - Direction - SA Region - 18/12/2023
Update - Direction - SA Region - 18/12/2023
Refer Market Notice 112492
The AEMO intervention event that commenced from interval ending 1635 hrs on 18/12/2023 is continuing.
AEMO may issue or revoke additional directions in order to meet the current requirement, unless sufficient market response is provided. A further market notice will be issued when all directions related to this requirement have been cancelled.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV line and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV
Duration: 25/12/2023 13:44 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
N-ARDM_ARSR_1PH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV line and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Bayswater - Mt Piper No.5A3 500kV and Wollar - Mt Piper No.5A5 500kV
Duration: 25/12/2023 13:44 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Tumoulin - Woree No.877 275 kV line and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Tumoulin - Woree No.877 275 kV and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV
Duration: 25/12/2023 13:13 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV line and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7165 132 kV and Chalumbin - Turkinje No.7166 132 kV
Duration: 25/12/2023 13:13 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
NONE
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Ross - Chalumbin No.857 275 kV line and Ross - Chalumbin No.858 275 kV line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Ross - Chalumbin No.857 275 kV and Ross - Chalumbin No.858 275 kV
Cancellation time: 25/12/2023 11:59
Constraint set(s) revoked:
Q-RSCH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 112692
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations