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STPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 2 (LOR2) in the QLD Region on 10/12/2024
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR2 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the QLD region for the following period:
[1.] From 1430 hrs 10/12/2024 to 1500 hrs 10/12/2024.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 819 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 802 MW.
AEMO is seeking a market response.
AEMO has not yet estimated the latest time it would need to intervene through an AEMO intervention event.
AEMO Operations
PDPASA - Forecast Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the QLD Region on 08/12/2024
AEMO declares a Forecast LOR1 condition under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the QLD region for the following Period:
[1.] From 1830 hrs 08/12/2024 to 1930 hrs 08/12/2024.
The forecast capacity reserve requirement is 990 MW.
The minimum capacity reserve available is 920 MW.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV line and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV
Cancellation time: 08/12/2024 17:19
Constraint set(s) revoked:
N-ARDM_ARSR_1PH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 121628
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV line and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV
Duration: 08/12/2024 16:18 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
N-ARDM_ARSR_1PH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV line and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV
Cancellation time: 08/12/2024 13:44
Constraint set(s) revoked:
N-ARDM_ARSR_1PH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 121619
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV line and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV line in NSW1 due to Lightning.
Reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits to now be more likely and reasonably possible. Accordingly AEMO has reclassified it as a credible contingency event.
Region: NSW1
Lines: Armidale - Dumaresq 8C 330kV and Armidale - Sapphire WF 8E 330kV
Duration: 08/12/2024 11:40 until further notice
Constraint set(s) invoked:
N-ARDM_ARSR_1PH_N-2 Constraint set contains the following interconnector(s) on the left hand side:
N-Q-MNSP1
NSW1-QLD1
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation - Forecast Minimum System Load 1 (MSL1) condition in the VIC Region on 08/12/2024
Cancellation - Forecast MSL1 - VIC Region at 1230 hrs 08/12/2024.
Refer to Market Notice 121617 for Forecast MSL1.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Forecast Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the VIC Region on 08/12/2024
Forecast Minimum System Load MSL1 condition in the VIC Region on 08/12/2024
Update to Market Notice 121508 - AEMO has detected that there is an elevated risk of insufficient demand to maintain a secure operating state in the VIC on 08/12/2024.
Minimum regional demand is forecast to be 1299 MW at 1300 hrs, and the advisory threshold is:
o MSL1 - 1560 MW
o MSL2 - 1060 MW
o MSL3 - 560 MW
The regional demand is forecast to be below the MSL1 threshold for the following period[s]:
From 1130 hrs 08/12/2024 to 1400 hrs 08/12/2024.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
Cancellation of a Non-Credible Contingency Event: Ross - Tully South - Woree No.8905 275 kV line line and Cardwell - Tully No.7389 132kV line line in QLD1 due to Lightning.
Cancellation of reclassification of a Non-Credible Contingency Event as a Credible Contingency Event due to Lightning. AEMO considers the simultaneous trip of the following circuits is no longer reasonably possible. There is no longer any lightning activity in the vicinity of the following lines. Accordingly its classification has reverted to a non-credible contingency event.
Region: QLD1
Lines: Ross - Tully South - Woree No.8905 275 kV line and Cardwell - Tully No.7389 132kV line
Cancellation time: 08/12/2024 06:29
Constraint set(s) revoked:
NONE
Refer AEMO Electricity Market Notice 121615
Auto-generated on behalf of Manager NEM Real Time Operations