2020 NEM Electricity Statement of Opportunities
The Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO) provides technical and market data that informs the decision-making processes of market participants, new investors, and jurisdictional bodies as they assess opportunities in the National Electricity Market (NEM) over a 10-year outlook period.
May 2021 ESOO Update
National Electricity Rules (NER) clause 3.13.3A (b) requires AEMO to publish updates to the statement of opportunities when new information becomes available that materially changes the supply or demand projections, including plant retirements. The recent announcement that all four units at Yallourn Power Station will be withdrawn on 30 June 2028 is considered significant new information, requiring a published update to the 2020 Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO), published in August 2020.
2020 NEM Electricity Statement of Opportunities – results
To view reliability outcomes by region, see:
To view demand forecasts by region, see:
2020 ESOO inputs and assumptions
NEM generation information July 2020 v2821.95 KB
2020 forecasting and planning inputs, assumptions and scenarios report (IASR)2.92 MB
2020 Inputs and assumptions workbook
This spreadsheet contains key scenario data used as inputs in AEMO’s market models for 2020 Planning and Forecasting activities. This data reflects a starting point for modelling, which may be refined as the processes evolve.8.21 MB
Note that the 2020 Inputs and Assumptions Workbook contains data not necessarily utilised in the ESOO, incorporating future potential developments appropriate to the Integrated System Plan or other Forecasting and Planning analyses.
In addition, the following reports describe inputs applied in the ESOO:
AEP Elical: Assessment of Ageing Coal-Fired Generation Reliability1.4 MB
BIS Oxford Economics, 2020 Macroeconomic forecasts2.13 MB
BIS Oxford Economics, 2020 Macroeconomic forecasts - COVID-19 update
BIS Oxford Economics provided an updated range on the expected impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, considering newer information available after the initial forecasts were finalised. AEMO’s forecasting considers both the original forecasts and the COVID-19 update.744.12 KB
CSIRO: 2020 Projections for small scaled embedded technologies report2.48 MB
Green Energy Markets: 2020 Projections for distributed energy resources – solar PV and stationary energy battery systems report2.19 MB